NBA Playoff Preview, Raul Playoff Picks of the Week

Thankfully gone are the Stephon Marburys, J.R. Riders, Stevie “Franchises,” Latrell Sprewells, Antoine Walkers, Derrick Colemans, Vin Bakers, Glenn Robinsons and the rest of the NBA’s once-decorated-world-of-pseudo-stars. After nearly a decade of professional basketball that got me about as excited as the thought of having the Two & A Half Men chime stuck in my head (or watching an episode of the sitcom for that matter), the 2010 NBA playoffs look to become the zenith of a renaissance period that may threaten to compete with the sneaker/poster/NBA on NBC epoch that is greatly responsible for my baptism into general fandom (i.e., Jordan, Bird, Magic, Isaiah, Dominique, Ewing, Olajuwon, Barkley, Stockton & Malone era). The modern era’s worth will forever be buttressed with influential artists named LeBron, Kobe, Melo, Wade, Howard, Paul, Nash, Nowitzki, Kidd, Roy, Deron Williams, Durant, Gasol, Pierce, Rondo, Bosh, Curry, Duncan, Parker, Ginobili, Rose, and Noah.

Will this prove to be the last shot the Cavs own at winning a title with LeBron James?

NBA Championship Outlook

Vegas says: Cleveland -140 or 8/5

Raul says: “Cleveland all the way.”

The question consuming everyone’s attention going into these playoffs: Is this the year LeBron James finally wins the title? Well this year perhaps more than any other, Cleveland’s prize-fighting competitors have all the muscles and flexibility necessary to go the distance as well. Dwight Howard and the reigning Eastern Conference Champion Magic, having added swingman Vince Carter, are a better team this season. Kobe Bryant and the reigning NBA Champion Lakers, assuming center Andrew Bynum is ready to punch in on Sunday, are a better team in 2010 as well. One thing that Cleveland has going for them perhaps more than any other team is the fact that nobody can guard their franchise, LeBron James, one-on-one. You’d have to have a player with the combination of Shaq’s strength, Gary Payton’s hips and feet, Jordan’s hubris and tenacity, Pippen’s length and Stockton’s defensive I.Q. to make the reigning MVP ineffective.

The key to the Cavs winning The Finals will depend heavily on quality performances from the trunk-load of role players James will disseminate the pumpkin to in Antawn Jamison, Mo Williams, Sideshow Bob Varejao, Delonte West and Shaquille O’Neal.

5 Day First Round Feature: Boston vs Miami

Vegas says: That Portland (75/1) has a better chance to win the Bill Russell trophy without star shooting guard Brandon Roy than Miami (90/1) does with future hall of famer Dwyane Wade.

Raul says: Boston in six.

Rondo is the only player on the Celtics who still gets carded for the purchase of Black & Milds.

Boston Keys: By now, we know the Celtics are a bunch of Codgers. But are they truly dispirited codgers as well? I don’t believe it. I know the 2008 version of Kevin Garnett is gone forever, but I still think this squad has just enough loose change to make a drive thru run in these playoffs, even if that only means one series win. You can dissect the stats in Miami’s favor all you want, but the C’s have what the Heat are lacking in this series: Control. If the Celtics choose to put a postseason run together, they can. Something tells me this team has been playing some sort of twisted Wiley Veteran Possum all season.

Miami Keys: Dwyane Wade showing no clemency towards the Celtic defense. We should expect nothing less than vintage Wade in this series because Boston has nobody that will make Flash think twice about entering the key. So the question for Miami is this: Who will assist Wade in making Miami’s offense perform poetically against a vulnerable Celtic defense?

Why I bet on the Celtics: Boston pumps up their home crowd with anthem “I’m Shipping Up To Boston” by Dropkick Murphys, while Miami will open up game three at home with “Conga” by Gloria Estefan.

San Antonio vs Dallas

Vegas says: Spurs +140

Raul says: Spurs in six.

Summary: This is one of the more compelling, ‘What if?’ charged NBA series I can remember since the Sega Genesis brought us Knicks vs Bulls. Artists are omnipresent here as well: Kidd, Nowitzki, Duncan, Ginobili, Parker. And if the mood shall strike you-Butler, Marion, Terry, Jefferson, Blair & McDyess.

Here we have two teams from Texas who came into the season fully expecting to come away with a title, only to find themselves playing each other in the opening round. From a spectators standpoint, what more could you ask for in a first round series? I am anticipating the one and only “upset,” in terms of seeding, in the playoffs. If San Antonio is as healthy as all the pundits say they are, and the court really becomes smaller as a result of emphasizing constructive possessions and care of the basketball, I can’t think of another trio I’d rather bestow more trust in my money with than Duncan, Ginobli, and Parker-for a first round series anyways.

Denver vs Utah

Vegas Says: Denver (-190)

Raul Says: Denver in six

Summary: Much like his Exalted Artist contemporaries in Dwyane Wade, Kobe Bryant, Kevin Durant and LeBron James; Carmelo Anthony can carry a team on his back offensively in the fourth quarter of close games. Fortunately for Melo, who has one of the better supporting casts in the league, he won’t be relied on too heavily against a Jazz team that will be outmatched athletically as well as outnumbered thanks to injuries to forwards Andrei Kirilenko and Carlos Boozer. Boozer will attempt to play with an oblique injury while Kirilenko, Utah’s best defender as well as best hope to neutralize Anthony, is expected to miss the series (calf). Even with Kirilenko, Utah hadn’t given up less than 100 points in a game since last month when they beat the Knicks in Salt Lake, 103-98.

Raul on the subway brushing up on some West Coast NBA box scores.

Raul’s BIO

Country of Origin: Mexico

Currently Resides: NYC

Age Moved to the USA/New York City: 14

First job in New York: Delivery Boy, downtown University Deli (“Many Slim Jims, Marlboros and Diet Rite to Wall St.”)

Favorite Food: Beer

Favorite Beer: Corona

Celebrity Most Commonly Mistaken For, But Signs Autograph Anyways: Chuy, co-star of popular television show “Chelsea Lately”

******************************************************************************

$5-A-Day Running Tally:

Total Bets, Wagered: 21 @ $110

Overall balance versus house: -$43.90

Outstanding Bet(s): Cleveland NBA Champs, Entire Series bets: Boston over Miami, Denver over Utah, San Ant. over Dallas 

Raul’s NBA Pick of the Week record: 2-0

When The Fun Stops: The Harry Caray Experience

The legendary Harry Caray.

For me, the baseball fun did not stop when swill merchant politicians of all people began playing moralists by initiating the process of policing the way players should be conditioning themselves. In turn; it began the process of sucking the life out of the Hanz and Franz culture that allegedly produced the likes of The Bash Brothers, Nails Dykstra, Barry Bonds and a cult phenomenon known as Red Sox Nation.

Actually, for myself, a baseball romantic you could say, a great deal of the fun actually stopped when longtime Cubs and WGN television play-by-play announcer Harry Caray’s life and career ended simultaneously in 1998. Say what you want about Harry because he was a lot of things, but mundane was not one of them. Harry made baseball fun to watch, even when the Expos were in town. Harry could make weed pulling or polishing silverware fun to watch. I know few people in this On Demand/ADHD era we live in that can actually watch a nine inning game without getting bored.

Today was the 95th Chicago Cubs home opener, and the last thirteen of which have been televised in syndication on WGN without Harry. But it feels like 30 years ago, and I long for some Harry. So I decided to put down $5 on the Cubs, check out the game on WGN and rekindle some of his spirit for old times sake.

MLB officially started the 2010 season from Fenway Park on Easter Sunday night, with opening day playing out the following afternoon. But lets face it baseball fans-and anyone who has ever sat in the bleachers at Wrigley Field could attest to this-the major league baseball season unofficially gets underway when the stadium on the North Side of The Windy City opens its doors for the first matinee in April. I promise you, speaking within the context of the standard American sports experience, it doesn’t get much better than attending a Wrigley matinee.

Rapper Gerry Gee (forefront) and I at the Cubs home opener in 2008.

(That reminds me: I’ve always said the perfect woman is one I could drink a beer and watch a ballgame with. Female Cubs fan fits the mold, and more often than not, fits comfortably in size 28-30″ jeans as well.)

Harry Caray and broadcast partner Steve Stone.

Here’s a short recap of how the game went, assuming Harry Caray and Steve Stone were broadcasting partners for WGN:

1st Inning

Cubs starting pitcher Ryan Dempster gets Brewers leadoff man Rickie Weeks to fly out to Alfonso Soriano just in front of the warning track in left field. In the process Harry gets his first “It Might be, It Could be,” flawed homerun call out of the way with the very first batter of the game. I’m guessing the Vegas prop writers would have handicapped that kind of call, with time of game in mind, at a -850 moneyline, which is comparable to betting on the UConn women’s basketball team to win against Arkansas-Little Rock.

Steve Stone then provides color on Soriano’s catch by recalling the former All-Star’s recent drop of a routine fly ball in Cincinnati. That’s when Harry, disregarding his game notes that clearly say to leave his opinion alone until at the first dull inning, decides to weigh in on the recent Soriano drop:

“Steve, I just will never understand how a guy, who grows up in the Dominican Republic, where the sun shines 365 days a year, can drop a ball…because of the sun! I just don’t get it and I never will.”

Steve Stone, dumbfounded by Harry’s ingenious remark, lets that one breathe.

Alfonso Soriano was subject to boos on Monday.

2nd Inning

Steve Stone exposes his trademark in-game lack of apathy earlier than usual. As we go from commercial ending to shot of pitcher throwing warm ups, the color man issues the first public awareness briefing of the day, “We’d like to take this time share with you an important message…When the Fun Stops…If you or someone you know is experiencing the fear, frustration, or anger due to a gambling problem, you are not alone…if you are unsure if someone you care about has a gambling problem, here are some warning signs: selling or pawning personal possessions to get money to gamble, gambling more money in an attempt to win back losses-otherwise known as “chasing”, and when gambling terminology is often substituted for regular adjectives in everyday dialogue-examples include: trifecta, parlay, exacta, scratch, chalk, dime, hedging, double-down, longshot, wise guy, maiden, morning line…call The Council on Problem Gambling and the number shown at 1-800-522-4700…When the fun stops, help is just a phone call away.”

Seconds later, as Dempster begins to start his windup for the first pitch of the inning, Harry inquires, “Say Steve, did you ever know anyone with a gambling problem?”

Steve responds with, “Sad to say, far too many, Harry. You have to remember I played Major League Baseball for 10 seasons. We had a lot of young, naive men making more money than they could ever dream of with too much free time on their hands.”

Harry, “Pittsburgh leads Houston 3-2 and St. Louis is out in front of Philadelphia 2-0…

“…and I’m pleased to welcome a new Cubs fan to the world: Teddy Hodge from Gary, Indiana. Teddy is a healthy 8 pounds and 5 oz.”

3rd Inning

“It might be, it could be, it is….outta here! Holllllllllly Cow!”

Harry fervor is displayed with practicality for the first time today, as Xavier Nady and Jeff Baker hit Cub homeruns, respectively.

4th inning

Just before Cub first baseman Derrick Lee singles in teammate Ryan Theriot, Harry indirectly informs us that he’s still an avid Jumbles participant via the Chicago Tribune, “Lee’s last name pronounced backwards is: eel.”

Cubs first baseman Derrek Lee, or "Eel."

5th inning

Harry presumably forgets to hold down his mic’s “sneeze” button for the first time, as we get to listen in on him ask the production assistant for his usual Rich & Rare in a Dixie Cup. “And beerback it with one of those ‘big-man’ cans of Budweiser, will ya amigo?”

6th inning

I think Harry is afraid to take a crack at thoroughly pronouncing first year Cub Xavier Nady. He’s not sure if the “X” is a typo on the scorecard or not. To this point Harry has just delivered a genuflect “Here’s Mr. Nady,” as if the former Yankee was currently every Cubs fans’ own milkman.

7th inning, CUBS 9 – BREWERS 5


First year Cubs owner Tom Ricketts duets “Take Me Out To The Ballgame” with Harry, who proceeded to punctuate the song with, “Let’s get some more runs!”

During the bottom of the inning, on this overcast Monday afternoon at Wrigley Field, Milwaukee catcher Gregg Zaun runs out to the mound to chat with his pitcher. The broadcast cuts to a shot of a voluptuous, bosomy blonde Cubs fan in her mid to early 30’s. This had all the earmarks of a time-honored, hook-line-and sinker setup by the WGN crew on Harry. The camera shot must have been focused in on this gorgeous woman for 20 minutes if it was five seconds when Harry decides to throw sprinkles on the sundae by modestly stating, “What a day for a ballgame.”

8th inning

More vintage Harry; As we come back from commercial, overjoyed with being just six outs away from an opening day win, he kicks off the inning with a classic three-attempt-at-pronouncing-last-name-bungle-job when former Notre Dame All-American wide receiver Jeff Samardzija has entered to pitch the eighth inning for Chicago:

“Welcome back! There has been a pitching change for the Cubs, his name is…Jeff…Sam-ard-zzz….Jeff….Samard-zzzgrrr….Jeff Samard…zzz-did-ya?

9th inning, CUBS 9 – Brewers 5

The game ends on an exciting 6-4 double play that moves too fast for Harry to articulate at his age, as we are left with five seconds of dead air (once the play develops and a befuddled Harry has been given the “game over” sign from his producer) finally capped by the signature call: “Cubs Win! Cubs Win! Cubs Win! Cubs Win!”

**$5-A-Day Running Tally:

Total Bets, Wagered: 17 @ $90

Overall balance versus house: -$43.90

Last Bet(s): Cubs (-160) to beat Milwaukee

Next $5 Bet: Raul’s NBA Pick of the Week

Raul’s NBA Pick of the Week record: 2-0

Cautionary Tale From The Crypt of Casinos

Donka Shain.

So you want to be an out-of-work sports gambling blogger? Consider this my commencement speech.

Two NBA bets, two NBA losses. Two job interviews this week, two no call backs. Throw in a $5 loss in The Masters and Thursday, April 8th could be described as a bad day for me; I average about three a year.

I was competing for one of two part time openings at a “Fresh & Easy”, a regional grocery chain, with two other finalists. My interview on Tuesday went great; I showed up 10 minutes early, asked questions, described in detail what I liked about the store, and expressed that I was a “team guy” even before the character quality itself was revealed by the manager as highly valued or revered within the company.

“I’d like to hire you, but I have two more interviews to conduct for the two positions available,” the manager explained. “We’ll be calling with an offer no later than Thursday.”

Let’s skip ahead to the moment of absolute truth, on Thursday:

Just before I enter Vegas Sports Booking Purgatory, a.k.a., Leroy’s Horse & Sports Place pitted in a forlorn corner of the strip at the World Famous Tropicana Casino, I notice that its only 4:36 p.m. Raul’s NBA Pick of the Week, the Cleveland Cavaliers (+2) at the Chicago Bulls doesn’t tip off for another 30 minutes or so. I have time to place this bet; and one should always wait until the last 10 minutes before tip-off anyways.

The rest of the Tropicana is undergoing renovation; hopfully the sports book will too.

So I decide I have time to give the “Fresh & Easy” manager a follow-up call. We’ll call him Gerry. Here’s how it went:

Gerry: This is Gerry, how may I help you?

Me: Hey, Gerry, this is Ryan McCord.

Gerry: Ohhhh!…..hey Ryan.

Me: I hope all is well. Just wanted to follow up with you in regards to my status at Fresh & Easy.

Gerry: It was close Ryan, but I regret to inform you that you fell a little short of what we were looking for.

Me: Oh, okay. Well could you mind telling me what I need to do to improve on, for future use?

Gerry: No, no, it wasn’t anything you did wrong, you see, the other guys just stood out.

Me: Oh, care to enlighten me?

Gerry: You shoulda seen it. One of the other applicants walked in here, then asked me where the stage was!

Me: Oh, right, the stage!(?)

Gerry: Since the title “Fresh & Easy” in this town can be a little misleading, I guess our Craigslist ad some how forayed down into the Strip Club avenue of the help wanted section. (Snicker.)

But after getting to know her a little more, getting a sense of what her vision was like…well lets just say it was divine intervention.

Me: (speechless from consternation followed with a sudden inkling for an Anti-Freeze infused Martini)

Gerry: You there?

Me: Yeah, I was just cutting out a cereal coupon here. So what about the other one? A go-getter, huh?

Gerry: You know Ryan, the other applicant just embodied the essence of what we encourage for our employees here at Fresh & Easy.

Me: He told everyone on staff he looked forward to working with them? Unbridled displays of diplomacy, right?

Gerry: I’m not sure, maybe. Let’s just say he had me at hello. He had the audacity to come to an interview displaying a pink Mohawk. See others may perceive or judge a Mohawk as a developmental delay, but I–

Me: (Click.)

So now its 4:39 p.m., but I’m feeling a little adrift and disoriented. Sinatra’s version of “Send in the Clowns” can now be heard throughout the casino. I had to do something to feel better fast. I could go outside for a breath of fresh air, or head to the restroom and splash some cold water on my face, or hurry to the sports desk and bet that $5 on Cleveland.

"Give me $40 on the Yankees and do you want to play hangman on the white board while we're waiting?"

But as I approach the desk itself, the ticket writer is erasing Chicago’s original spread from -2 to -6.

He then states, “Something’s up there!”

I then turn to one of the seven 25” tube televisions all playing the same channel. (The ticket writer would later promote that “the T.V. with the dials” was purchased the same day the final episode of ALF aired.)

“The Hue knob doesn’t work anymore, though. Other than that she’s been good to us,” he assured me.

It didn’t help that ESPN was fixated on 24/7 Tiger coverage, either. Just what was going on in the Cleveland game? It has to have something to do with LeBron, right? I was going to assume that LeBron was out and doubly assume Raul would have picked Chicago with the MVP dressed in Diamonds and Furs. This was essentially a playoff game for the Bulls, who were half a game behind Toronto for the eighth and final spot in the Eastern Conference. The thought of the Bulls playing the Cavs without LeBron, in Chicago, almost sounded more attractive than actually seeing Halle Berry in HD.

Then as I turn my attention to the window, a crow is picking at something on the outer sill. I can’t take this place anymore! But if I walk over to the neighboring MGM Grand’s sports book, it’s possible that I may not make it in time to place the bet.

“Well I guess I have no choice. I’ll place five on the Bulls, straight up,” I tell the ticket writer. “I’m going to wait on LA and Denver.”

With the ticket in hand (Chicago, -6), I fled from what might be the worst sports book in Vegas (the cocktail waitresses won’t go within 15 yards of it), to one of the better ones; the 60+ television equipped MGM Grand(e).

Ahhh! The MGM Grand.

Three hours later…

The moment Ron Artest gets stiff-armed by the rim on a breakaway layup in the second quarter, I decide one man can only absorb so much doom & gloom in one three hour span. It was time to call it a day.

I ended up going with the Lakers, who were getting two points in Denver, but without Kobe Bryant. Of course, nobody but the Lakers organization knew Kobe wasn’t playing. Not any one of the Crackberry-heads sitting next to me said a word. Nor did the obnoxiously drunk Canadian## who kept yelling these three lines during the Penguins vs. Islanders hockey game, “Golden Goal by Sid The Kid!..Toronto Maple Leafs Rule!…Baseball needs a salary cap!”

##(Caution to someone looking to enjoy an NBA double header at a Vegas sports book, but unwillingly must do so with a drunk Canuck: don’t make eye contact. For the poor people who did, it must have compared to watching the game with a Hammered Billy Madison.)

If there is anything more annoying than a drunk American sports nut, its a drunk Canadian one!

Nobody on TNT reported that Kobe wasn’t playing until the actual game coverage began. And if Vegas knew all along, then why didn’t they change the point spread?

Vegas was angry that day, my friends.  As much as I look forward to gambling, I equally look forward to watching elite athletes like LeBron, Kobe, and Tiger. (I also bet $5 on Tiger to birdie his first hole at the Masters. He parred.) So in essence, I lost a lot on Thursday. I drove home from the casino asking myself, “How can I do this for an entire year?”

Well there is a key to overcoming a “Stunk Worse Than Burnt Hair” day like I had: utilizing your release valve. Some people have the driving range, some have the shrink’s chair, some have fishing, some people have a hot tub, some jog, some people have Facebook or OK! magazine.

For the four of you reading, this here is catharsis for me. And the undertow known as yesterday now feels like a dream. Because in a city as uncompromising and off-color as Vegas can be, a city where you can never have too many friends, its your hobby and God’s will rolled into one that prove to be your best friend.

Just remember all that if you ever want to become an out-of-work sports gambling blogger.

**$5-A-Day Running Tally:

Total Bets, Wagered: 16 @ $85

Overall balance versus house: -$47.30

Last Bet(s): Chicago (-6) vs Cleveland, LA Lakers (+2) at Denver, Tiger to Birdie First Hole At Masters (13/5)

Next $5 Bet: Cubs Home Opener: Remembering Harry Caray

Raul’s NBA Pick of the Week record: 2-0



Final Four School of Thought

“Nonresistance, non-judgment, and nonattachment are the three aspects of true freedom and enlightened living.” –Eckhart Tolle, best selling author/spiritual counselor.

If I had only read that quote before the NCAA tournament.

The only No. 1 seed I resisted to gamble on, and therefore misjudged, in terms of making it to Indianapolis, was Duke. Theoretically, minutes before the tournament actually began, I became emotionally attached to four teams at separate ends of the big bracket when I placed bets on them to make it all the way to the Final Four.

You never completely dismiss Duke in this tourney, but I undervalued Coack K. and Co. by treating them like a “has been.” It was like I walked into a bar, and at one end saw Megan Fox (in this scenario represented by Villanova-who ran circles around Duke in the ’09 tourney) then at the opposite end, there’s Betty White (or Duke, who hasn’t won a bracket seemingly since “The Golden Girls” was on NBC primetime). Conventional compulsion says to go for Fox, so I did. Sure Fox is the “it” girl, but the wisest of men would be more compelled to enjoy a glass of Johnny Walker with White. After a lively conversation, White could have gotten me tickets to Saturday Night Live (in which she will host in May), while Meghan Fox could have told me about Transformers 3 .

Remember the one when they had no heat in July?

So when the Final Four matchups were set, my immediate instincts foresaw a Butler vs. Duke championship game. But losing can really weigh on your conscious, causing you to go for long walks alongside Charleston Blvd. or seeking comfort by laughing at poor George Constanza’s indiscretions during Seinfeld reruns.

That was when another quote hit me: “If every instinct you have is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right.”-Jerry Seinfeld to friend George Costanza, who happened to be bald, unemployed and living with his parents at this time of the popular sitcom.

Not only did Costanza chose not to shake Steinbrenner's hand, but immediately proceeds to chew him out, and as a result, gets hired on the spot. I chose not to shake Duke's hand in the Final Four and fall further behind The House.

I had always wanted to give the “Opposite Theory of Daily Living” a shot, just so long as it was initially analyzed with a sampling under what I deem an appropriate context. I just figured that I wouldn’t be desperate enough to actually apply the theory as a means to win on sporting events in Vegas until the top end of the calendar began to thicken a little more.

As previously stated, I liked Butler and Duke so I go ahead and bet $5 each on Michigan State and West Virginia, respectively.

By now, you know the results.

The man who played Costanza, Jason Alexander, once claimed that he knew people who “prospered over a considerable period of time” in applying this M.O. as a religion of sorts to life in general. Well I’d be willing to bet that not one of them thrived by betting opposites on major sporting events in Vegas.

Final Four '10: The day "The Opposite" backfired on me.

By now I am willing to try just about anything to end the NCAA tourney on a high note. The thing is, I’ve just been so rotten that even hindsight itself appears to have poor judgment. Hindsight has said to me, “If Ray Charles were still alive-I would have just copied his ESPN-celebrity bracket. At least he would still have a Final Four team around.” Hindsight has even said, “You should’ve taken that pre-tourney issue of Cosmo more seriously while at the newsstand three weeks ago. You know, the one with the article teaser on the cover that stated, ‘64 Ways to Pleasure Your Man In March’?” (Four of which were not grime induced, but actual Final Four picks, including Duke, Michigan St., and West Virginia, respectively).

So which team did I decide to go with in the Championship Game? With the help of a coin flip-just kidding-I chose Butler (+7 ½). I just felt like the point spread was comparable to UConn women laying 23 to Baylor. How’d that go? And the last time Duke played a team who really played gritty, overachieving team defense, like Butler, was Purdue in the Sweet 16 round. But Purdue’s inability to make uncontested shots (including 4-16 from three and 13-21 from the foul line) throughout the game helped an otherwise frustrated Duke offense stay in the game until pulling away in the end.

I think we tend to forget what Butler, who hasn’t lost since the days when Tiger was covertly texting Flying J hot-rack attendants, has done in this tournament to get here in beating Syracuse, Kansas St., and Michigan State.

I also love the fact that Butler is playing a home game. And with the Final Four jitters assumed to be out of the way, I’m betting the Bulldogs keep it close-instinctively speaking, of course.

**$5-A-Day Running Tally:

Total Bets, Wagered: 13 @ $70

Overall balance versus house: -$32.30

Last Bet: Butler +7.5 vs. Duke

Next $5 Bet: NBA Thursday

NBA Thursday, Aria Indeed Has Juice, And Guest “Celebrity” Pick

Aria, located in City Center.

Watching the NBA on TNT on a 30’ HD TV last night at Aria’s sports book/lounge just about had a “better than sex” appeal. Dwight Howard must have been seven feet tall. One could actually tell when Vince Carter began to sweat (third quarter). I know that could make me sound like I haven’t been exposed to a great deal of trendy boob tube technology; but after all, I did legally have money riding on the outcome, which naturally provides breadth to the viewing experience.

King-Sized HD also allows you to accurately decode up to 15% of what exactly it is the tattoo-fixated athletes like J.R. Smith of the Nuggets and Matt Barnes of the Magic have coated all over their arms and/or jugular. My attention was divided during the whole second half of Denver vs. Portland as I was internally debating which one of Mr. Smith’s tattoos I would like to show off to the ladies: the Transformer logo above his Adam’s Apple, or the red New York Yankee “NY” logo he had adjacent to Optimus Prime. I couldn’t help but wonder what Smith, or Barnes, or Carmelo Anthony-or anyone else who decides to have 99.9% of their arm skin permanently scribbled on-opens the dialogue with in the tattoo parlor.

I’m guessing its gotta go something like this:

Player: “You know what Harley, I can’t stand having blank spots on my arm anymore. It’s so unattractive. Do you have any sample blueprints drawn out that I can look at for decorating extremities as a whole?”

Tattoo Artist: “No I don’t.”

Player: “Well what did you do for guys like Dennis Rodman?”

Tattoo Artist: “For a guide I usually just take an old picture I have of a Briar Patch on my Grandpa’s farm in Nampa, Idaho, then shoot up whatever the house narcotic happens to be at the time, throw on some Skynyrd, and hope for the best.”

Rating the Aria

RU kidding? This place made the Circus Circus sports book look like Freddy Kreuger’s garage. I told my roomy that I now know what I want my dream home to look like. In a Perfect World, I would build it in Manhattan, replicating the entire layout–décor included–and television for television. Just add a hot tub somewhere in the middle, hire two cocktail waitresses, throw in a pool table or two, place my bed in one corner, a fireplace anywhere, and a kegerator-equipped kitchen in another corner.

This is the scene yesterday at my Man Cave, Aria's sports book (or lounge).

In other words, it’s A’s across the board for Aria.

Reggie and Marvelous on a 30' HD screen.

As for the actual gambling results…

I wagered $5 on the Magic of Orlando (-2) at Dallas.

Remember the Seinfeld episode when Kramer was betting on plane arrivals from the Diplomat’s club at LaGuardia? Well if I was that foolish, i.e., if I had a gambling problem, I would have bet at least $100 on Orlando to win and cover as opposed to the humble $5 that I actually wagered. I was that sure.

"Nobody Hustles Earl Haffler!"

To echo problematic gamblers everywhere, “It’s a lllllock!”

My premise for choosing Orlando was simple: Dallas is old. Orlando is young.

Looking back on the notes I wrote throughout the first half, I reminded myself that Jason Kidd, the Mavs’ 37-year-old point guard, still has game. Then came the second stanza, where Kidd made like Jeff Bridges’ character, Bad Blake, in the first concert scene of the film “Crazy Heart.” He just disappeared in the middle of a song (though I doubt Kidd was puking in the parking lot from drinking too much McClure’s whiskey, but you get the picture). Bad Blake and Jason Kidd just can’t hang with the youngsters like they used to.

The Mavericks played on the road Wednesday night, winning in overtime, versus Memphis. Orlando had Wednesday off, and on top of that, Dwight Howard and Co. were looking to get even after Dallas waxed them in their previous matchup in Florida.

If I was one of those Handicapping “Experts” you see on TV in Vegas, I would have tried to sell you on a particular stat that resonated with me the most: until last night, Orlando had Zero road wins this season against Western Conference teams currently in playoff contention. Zero! For a team looking to make a consecutive run to the NBA Finals in 2010 (which is a month away) the Magic had to get a respectable win out of the way.

And sometimes in the world of gambling, you have to pay attention to the “due” factor. Just never rely on it (you blackjack dude-bro’s).

Featuring the Raul of NYC Pick of the Week

Raul and I worked together in a Manhattan restaurant during the six months prior to my present day relocation to Vegas. Often times, as a means to neutralize the stiff aroma of tediousness that so often comes with working in a restaurant, we would grab the Daily News and bet on a host of NBA games. If there were 12 games on the schedule, we each got to pick six teams. The wager? Five dollars, of course. Raul can do three things really well: work, talk trash in Spanish, and predict NBA outcomes. At least he beat me more than I beat him.

So I bet $5 on Denver (-5) to beat Portland at home.

Why Denver on Wednesday, Raul? “Carmelo. Too Much.” In the fourth quarter Carmelo Anthony proved Raul a prophet, as the All-Star forward scored 13 of his 25 points in helping Denver win by 17.

Here's Raul catching up on some west coast NBA box scores while riding the subway.

Raul’s BIO

Country of Origin: Mexico

Age Moved to the USA/New York City: 14

First job in New York: Delivery Boy, downtown University Deli (“Many Slim Jims, Marlboros and Diet Rite to Wall St.”)

Favorite Food: Beer

Favorite Beer: Corona

Memorable lines most often recalled amongst co-workers:

-Despite the fact that the #1 subway line in Manhattan is a local line (more stops than say its cousin, the “A” express line), Raul contends to a self-constructed theory that the line itself is actually the speediest the Metropolitan Transit Authority has to offer-in terms of getting from one end of Manhattan to another-based solely on the merit of number itself. “It’s the Number One!”

-During a slow lunch hour in December, a waiter asked Raul what Santa Claus was bringing to his kids this year. In response, Raul lowers his eyebrows, waves his hand towards the floor and attests, “I don’t believe in that s*it.”

His sources tell him: LeBron is NOT coming to the Knicks.

Favorite part about March: It’s national (March Madness) Mustache Awareness Month

Celebrity most commonly mistaken for (but signs the autograph regardless): Chuy, co-star of the “Chelsea Lately” show.

Six-year-old fan at The Garden: "Chuy! Chuy! Mr. Chuy can you sign this?"

**$5-A-Day Running Tally:

Total Bets, Wagered: 10 @ $55

Overall balance versus house: -$26.80

Outstanding Bets: N/A

Next $5 Bet: Final Four

On the Seventh Day, God Suggests I Take A Day Off From Gambling

March 26, '10: The first time this blog came out on the winning end!

While filling out job applications in February, I was occasionally inquired to list what I think my weaknesses are. I would respond with: spelling, cursing, crossword puzzles, interviewing for a job, Pogo-Balling, remembering names, making my bed and microwaving popcorn.

Here I am in March; still searching for that Dream Job. Maybe it works against me sometimes, but I feel it’s important to be completely honest with any potential employer. Therefore, I now feel inclined to add one more weakness to that list: predicting winners of NCAA tournament games.

I mean, this is ridiculous. Does anyone mind if I just skip paying the house for a day and flush a five-dollar bill down the toilet instead? I promise I’ll take a picture and try to write about it.

I doubled down on No. 1 seed Kentucky yesterday in their “My Grandma can shoot better than that-and she’s dead” performance vs. West Virginia (I also put action on the Wildcats to win their region back on day one). That left me $5 poorer and with a ZERO accuracy rating in predicting Final Four teams for the first time in my life. My ESPN bracket tells me that I will have accurately picked 51% of ALL the games in the tournament. I suppose that’s what happens when most of the college basketball (or equivalent) I followed this season came by way of seven New York Knicks games (before they traded Nate Robinson, of course) and half of a New Jersey Nets game.

I haven’t been in a gambling slump that bothered me this much since I sat at the “Diff’Rent Strokes” themed nickel slot machine at O’Shea’s for a Tuesday afternoon.

Maybe I should just start asking Oak-Town, the guy who fries your Twinkies and Oreos downtown (Fremont St-Old Vegas) for help in making my picks. Seriously, he couldn’t do much worse.

There has been “One Shining Moment” for me during this tournament. I finished up Friday at Treasure Island with cash in my hand. I looked at the sports book’s digital board and saw Duke laying an -8.5 spread. Something spoke to me there. So I made like Vince Vaughn in Swingers and talked back to the board like it was a cocktail waitress: “There she is, the most special lady in town!”

Trent tipped his cocktail waitress a 50-cent piece. It gets me every time.

That night she was wearing blue and her father likes to be referred to as Coach K. I guess all those hours I logged growing up playing his old video game on the Sega Genesis (not to mention 2 more the other day) finally paid dividends.

The funny thing about that first win was just how “hard to get” Duke played with my psyche during the first half: Senior All-American point guard John Scheyer didn’t make a field goal. As a team, Duke had 0 buckets made in the paint. They have four or five guys who can touch the rim without jumping!

Tom Petty once wrote “the waiting is the hardest part.” Well it was during the halftime break that I began to ask myself questions: Will I ever win here? And if so, will I ever catch up to The House? Should I have listened to the guy next to me who scoffs at the idea of betting on ANY NCAA tourney game; and instead puts down a pair of Benjamin’s on horses named “Backside Blackie” and “She’s A Cougar”? And why is the guy in front of me watching only FOX News with ear buds plugged into his personal set for hours upon end?

“So this must be what it feels like to drive through Texas?” I asked the horseracing junkie.

I've driven through Montana a few times, but never the Lone Star State.

“What did I tell you, kid?” He responds politely. “Betting on basketball is like waiting for your female to get ready to go out for the evening. You never know what the end results are going to be like and it takes waaay too damn long to find out.”

Confucius couldn’t have said it better himself.

**$5-A-Day Running Tally:

Total Bets, Wagered: 8 @ $45

Total winnings: $9.10 (Coach K’s head should be added to Rushmore)

Overall balance versus house: -$35.90

Outstanding Bets: N/A

Next $5 Bet: NBA hump-day Wednesday

Syracuse vs Butler: Hardly a “Just Add Water” Gamble

Because it is miles from the strip, Red Rock owns one of the more underrated sports books in town.

Game time, 4:07 p.m. I am dead set on Syracuse beating Butler. I had no idea how much they would win by, I just knew they were a better team-just about every angle you try to analyze it from. And I was far from anxious before placing this bet, despite the fact that I have yet to make a proverbial basket myself against The House: 0-for-4, totaling -$20 overall.**

I enter the grandiose sports book at the Red Rock Resort/Casino around 3:30 p.m. with one word on my mind: Prudence. If I’m going to be ahead of the house by this time next year, I’m going to need to start betting with some sense of resolve for a while-if not permanently. I will develop my own “wise guy” philosophies/betting formula, but until that comes into fruition, playing the money lines with the favorite (as opposed to the spread, in which Syracuse was -6 ½), might be the way to go. At least until I get that first win out of the way.

“I’d like to bet Syracuse with the money line please…ahem…$5,” I politely prompted the teller.

“…That will only win you a dollar-fifty,” the Barney Frank-looking teller burps.

“That’s fine, Sabertooth. I’m just looking to get that first win out of the way,” I replied with conviction.

“Well at least a win will buy you a Hot Dog. Good luck,” the teller concluded.

(The teller was right. All hot dogs and Budweiser bottled products are $1 at Red Rock during NCAA tournament games. I’m almost ashamed to say this, but I know grown men who, already wooed from the fact that every single game of the tourney is displayed, would have considered this a deal maker. If Red Rock had done a better job marketing this deal, say with an internet ad on ESPN or $5-A-Day Parlay, my friends would have known about it, and in turn, would have been on the next flight down here.)

One half of play and what seemed like 28 Syracuse turnovers later, all Butler had to do was “just add water”, or hit the automatic pilot button for their 10-point lead. The pundits will tell you Butler played great defense, but I’ve seen better from teams that have lost in this tournament (e.g. #15 Oral Roberts vs. #2 Villanova). The stat of the game was Butler’s shooting percentage: 40%. But they made the ones that counted in crunch time, none better than Willie Veasley’s shot that pinball danced the rim before falling through-and so did the prospects of me enjoying a celebratory hot dog.

A dejected "Class of '89!" Syracuse fist-pumping alumnus yesterday at Red Rock. Syracuse fans were in the vast majority here. They are very passionate about SU hoops, often shouting the "C'MON!" and the soliloquy "Put a foot in their Ass!" a lot.

House $25, Unemployed Journalist $0.

So Mr. President, when exactly would I become fully covered for anti-anxiety meds?

**$5-A-Day Overall Tally:

Total Bets, Wagered: 6 @ $30

Total winnings: N/A

Total balance versus house: -$25

Outstanding Bet: Kentucky (-160) To Win East Regional (ticket would pay $8.10)

Next $5 Bet: March 26 or 27

Here’s some of the highlights I’d like to share from last Saturday (the day Northern Iowa’s Ali Farokhmanesh became the unofficial mayor of  Cedar Falls, IA), where I viewed second round action from the Red Rock Casino sports book:

If you don't let the Hammer into your party, then maybe you shouldn't be throwing one.

*Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg, a former assistant to Jimmy The Greek and current ESPN pro football prognosticator, was sitting at his VIP cubicle, well within my line of sight, all day Saturday. “Is that The Hammer?” was thrown out there by a passing fan every so often. I couldn’t help but check in on his personal television every 10 minutes. He apparently wanted nothing to do with March Madness. I watched a variation of four games in four hours, while the Hammer was glued to nothing but horseracing. Talk about an incurable romantic of the horseracing world. The Hammer will be remembered as my first A list celebrity sighting as a resident of Vegas. (I sat close to Dog The Bounty Hunter at the Bellagio while on my first visit.) The Hammer may fly under the radar to most,  but don’t kid yourself, he is an A-lister. The guy has more stories than a Tijuana detective. Case in point:

http://espn.go.com/espnradio/player?rd=1#/podcenter/?id=4890518&autoplay=1&callsign=ESPNRADIO

*When Northern Iowa’s Ali Farokhmanesh boldly shot and sank that three point shot with a minute to play in a memorable upset against top overall seed Kansas, the crowd at Red Rock burst at the scene with an ambiguous medley of reactions. Imagine what it would sound like if 300 people (half of which not only had to go to the bathroom for the last twenty minutes, but switched from $1 beers to well drinks 40 minutes back once realizing the Jayhawks were in for a serious challenge) all lost money and/or their bracket at the same time. Yet, everyone who is human loves an underdog. There were oohs, aahhs, cheers, and jeers. The southern guy behind me burrs, “Far-rock-muhammed? God Damn Al-Qaeda! They’re even shooting jumpers now!” When the clock finally wound down to 0.00, the majority of the crowd issued a golf clap.

*I met a Northern Iowa alumnus while I was on my way to the bathroom once that thriller concluded. I told him congrats. He was literally speechless.

*Couldn’t make it up because this is Vegas moment: once I finished taking care of business in the men’s room, I head to the sink to wash my hands when a West Virginia fan shamelessly heads straight toward the urinals with a full bottle of beer in each hand. Unless there’s a Kevin Trudeau book out there that explains the hands free human tricks the government doesn’t want you to know about, that guy had to sit those bottles down on the floor.